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 Topic # 768 |
Bears vs. Commanders predictions Odds total player props pick how to watch Thursday Night Football |
18/03/2024 @ 09:50
by TomBrady
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The and will get Week 6 in the NFL started when these NFC clubs square up at Solider Field for "Thursday Night Football." This is hardly the clash of that a primetime game typically sees, but at least we might get a touchdown in this matchup, unlike last week's Thursday night game ... right? Coming into this head-to-head, Washington is tied for a league-worst 1-4 ATS record, while Chicago Andrew Heaney Jersey has been a respectable 2-2-1 ATS.Here, we'll specifically be looking at the different betting angles that this game has to offer. Along with the spread and total, we'll also take a look at several player props and hand in our picks for how we see this showdown unfolding.Date:Thursday, Oct. 13 |Time:8:15 p.m. ETLocation:Soldier Field (Chicago)Stream:Follow:Odds: PICK, O/U 38After sitting as a pick'em for most of the summer, the lookahead on this line made the Commanders a 1-point favorite. However, that shifted back towards a pick'em following the events of Week 5, with another uninspiring showing by Washington and a solid game by Chicago, albeit in a lo s to the . The pick: Bears PK. Neither one of these teams will be mistaken for a Super Bowl contender, but it does feel like Chicago is playing better ball right now. They finally saw some succe s in the pa sing game last week with and are facing a Washington defense that ranks 27th in the NFL in points per game. While Chicago's offense may not have the most firepower, I trust them more than what the Commanders are rolling out on that side of the ball. If you remove their Week 1 win over Jacksonville, Washington is averaging just 15.5 points per game, allowing 4.8 sacks per game, and has a horrid 33% third down conversion rate. After Ron Rivera called out the play of (and then took it back), this team feels like one that's about to cave in on itself.Key trend: Bears are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing road record.The lookahead had this total sitting at 40 and that held through most of Sunday before beginning its descent. It fell to 39.5 by Sunday evening and was down Hansel Robles Jersey to 38.5 by Monday morning. The total fell as low as 37.5 but has since crept back up to 38 on the eve of this matchup. The pick: Under 38. This is just a slight lean on the Under as 38 does feel like a small number even if these teams don't boast the most high-octane offenses that the NFL has to offer. Washington is averaging 15.5 points since beating the Jags in Week 1. Meanwhile, the Bears have gone north of 20 points just twice through five games and are averaging 17.2 points per game this season.Key trend: Under is 21-8 in the Bears' last 29 home games. CHI QB #1 CMP%55.7YDs679TD3INT4YD/Att7.72 Pa sing touchdowns:0.5 (Over -234, Under +165)Pa sing yards:169.5 (Over -115, Under -119)Rushing yards: 42.5 (Over -104, Under -131)Pa sing attempts: 23.5 (Over -109, Luis Valbuena Jersey Under -125)Longest pa s completion:32.5 (Over -113, Under -121)Completions: 14.5 (Over -101, Under -135)Interceptions:0.5 (Over -115, Under -119)Justin Fields is coming off his best day as a pa ser this season in Week 5 where he completed 71.4% of his pa ses for a season-high 208 yards. It's po sible that Matt Eberflus is starting to utilize Fields' arm a bit more and he has gone over this pa sing yards prop in each of his past two games, which also includes at least 20 pa s attempts. Meanwhile, Washington will not have cornerback William Jackson (back) for this game, which should help Fields move the ball through the air a bit more. The favorite bet, however, is the Over on Fields' rushing yards at 42.5. He's gone over this number in three straight games coming into Week 6. Fields has also gone over this prop in seven of his last 12 starts. LAR QB CMP%62.9YDs1390TD10INT6YD/Att6.62 Pa sing touchdowns:1.5 (Over +146, Under -204)Pa sing yards:217.5 (Over -121, Under -113)Rushing yards: 11.5 (Over -115, Under -119)Pa sing attempts: 32.5 (Over -109, Under -125)Longest pa s completion:34.5 (Over -123, Under -111)Completions: 20.5 (Over -117, Under -117)Interceptions:0.5 (Over -121, Under -113)While I believe the Bears will come out of this game with a win, you can't deny Wentz's record on Thursday night. The quarterback is 6-0 SU on "Thursday Night Football" and has played well in those games, logging a 15-2 TD-INT ratio and a 107.4 pa ser rating. That said, I think this situation may be Los Angeles Angels Of Anaheim Jersey entirely different for Wentz, so I'm going to fade that prior history a bit. I like the Over 0.5 in |
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